Predictions for the Premier League game Newcastle United vs. Manchester City
Newcastle United - Manchester City betting tip & best odds | 22.11.2025
Newcastle United vs Manchester City: Premier League Clash at St James' Park
The Premier League returns with an intriguing matchup as Newcastle United host Manchester City at St James' Park on Saturday, November 22, 2025. This Matchday 12 encounter kicks off at 18:30 and features two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Magpies currently sit 14th in the table with 12 points from 11 games, while Pep Guardiola's City occupy 2nd place with 22 points. Newcastle have been formidable at home with 3 wins from 5 matches, but face a City side that demolished them 4-0 in their last meeting.
Our Expert Betting Predictions for This Premier League Showdown
For this Premier League encounter, we have analyzed the form, statistics, and historical data to bring you two carefully considered betting tips. Our first sports betting tip is a surprising one - we're backing Newcastle United for a home win (Tip 1) at odds of 3.70 with Easybet. While Manchester City are undoubtedly the stronger side on paper, Newcastle's impressive home record this season (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats) suggests they can cause problems for any visitor to St James' Park.
Our second betting prediction focuses on the "Both Teams to Score" market, where we're recommending "Yes" at odds of 1.90 with 1win. Newcastle have been finding the net regularly at home, while Manchester City's attacking prowess is undeniable. However, City's defense has shown occasional vulnerabilities on the road this season, making this football bet today particularly appealing.
Best Betting Odds Analysis for Newcastle vs Man City
Looking at the betting market for this Premier League clash, Easybet offers the best value for a Newcastle home win at 3.70, while the same bookmaker prices a draw at 3.80. For those backing Manchester City to continue their good form, 1win provides odds of 4.49 for an away victory.
In the "Both Teams to Score" market, 1win offers 1.90 for "Yes," which aligns perfectly with our second betting tip. Meanwhile, Paripesa provides odds of 2.30 for "No" in this market, reflecting the bookmakers' expectation of goals from both sides.
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Newcastle United Performance Check: Mixed Fortunes but Strong at Home
Eddie Howe's Newcastle United find themselves in a somewhat precarious position, sitting 14th in the Premier League with 12 points from 11 matches. Their overall record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats suggests inconsistency, but their home form tells a different story. At St James' Park, the Magpies have secured 3 wins from 5 matches, maintaining an unbeaten home record until recently.
Their goal difference of 11:14 indicates defensive frailties that Howe will be eager to address. However, Newcastle's recent form has shown signs of improvement with 3 wins in their last 5 matches across all competitions. The most recent outing resulted in a disappointing 3-1 defeat at Brentford, which will have dented confidence somewhat.
Eddie Howe has been working to instill a more attacking philosophy while maintaining defensive solidity. Despite the challenging league position, Newcastle's ability to turn St James' Park into a fortress gives them a fighting chance against even the strongest opponents. The passionate home support has often proven to be the team's 12th man, particularly in high-profile fixtures like this one.
Manchester City's Current Form: Title Challengers in Fine Fettle
Pep Guardiola's Manchester City continue to demonstrate why they're perennial title contenders, currently sitting 2nd in the Premier League with 22 points. Their impressive record of 7 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats has been built on a formidable attacking unit that has netted 23 goals while conceding just 8 – the best defensive record in the league so far.
However, their away form has been somewhat less dominant, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats on their travels. This relative vulnerability on the road could give Newcastle some encouragement ahead of Saturday's clash. City's recent form has been typically strong, with 4 wins from their last 5 matches across all competitions.
Their most recent outing saw them dispatch title rivals Liverpool with a commanding 3-0 home victory, showcasing the tactical brilliance that has become Guardiola's hallmark. The Spanish tactician continues to evolve his team's approach, blending technical excellence with tactical flexibility. Despite occasional setbacks, City remain one of the most formidable sides in European football, capable of dismantling any opposition when at their fluid best.
The Last Direct Duels: City's Recent Dominance
The head-to-head record between these two sides over the last five meetings tells a story of Manchester City's general superiority, with the Citizens claiming 3 victories to Newcastle's 1, with 1 draw completing the record. The most recent encounter was particularly one-sided, with City securing a comprehensive 4-0 home win.
This pattern of City dominance has been evident in recent Premier League meetings, with the Manchester side often controlling proceedings through their possession-based approach. However, Newcastle have occasionally managed to frustrate Guardiola's men, particularly at St James' Park where the atmosphere can be intimidating for visiting teams.
The tactical battle between Howe and Guardiola will be fascinating, with Newcastle likely to adopt a more counter-attacking approach against City's expected possession dominance. The Magpies will be eager to avenge their heavy defeat in the last meeting and prove they can compete with the league's elite teams.
Match Prediction: Potential Upset on the Cards
While Manchester City enter this fixture as favorites based on league position and overall quality, several factors point toward a potential upset at St James' Park. Newcastle's impressive home record this season suggests they save their best performances for their own supporters, while City's occasional struggles on the road provide further encouragement for the hosts.
Eddie Howe will have studied City's rare defeats this season and will likely set up his team to exploit any weaknesses in transition. The vocal St James' Park crowd will create an intimidating atmosphere that could unsettle even City's experienced stars.
Our analysis points to a closely-fought contest with goals at both ends, but we're backing Newcastle to secure a surprise victory. The combination of home advantage, City's less convincing away form, and Newcastle's recent improvement at St James' Park makes the home win our primary betting tip for this encounter.
For those interested in football betting tips tomorrow, we recommend checking out our dedicated page featuring comprehensive analysis of upcoming fixtures. Our betting tips for tomorrow provide valuable insights and predictions based on the latest team news, form guides, and statistical analysis – perfect for building your weekend betting strategy.
Performance
Newcastle United performance of the last 5 home matches
Manchester City performance of the last 5 away matches
Current Standing
| POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Arsenal FC
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 15 |
|
2
|
Chelsea FC
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 |
|
3
|
Manchester City
|
22 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 14 |
|
4
|
Crystal Palace
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 |
|
5
|
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 |
|
6
|
Sunderland AFC
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 |
|
7
|
AFC Bournemouth
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
|
8
|
Tottenham Hotspur
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 9 |
|
9
|
Aston Villa
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 |
|
10
|
Manchester United
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 |
|
11
|
Liverpool FC
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 |
|
12
|
Brentford FC
|
16 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
|
13
|
Everton FC
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
|
14
|
Newcastle United
|
15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 |
|
15
|
Fulham FC
|
14 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 |
|
16
|
Nottingham Forest FC
|
12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 |
|
17
|
West Ham United
|
11 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 |
|
18
|
Leeds United
|
11 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 |
|
19
|
Burnley FC
|
10 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 |
|
20
|
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
|
2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 |
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