Predictions for the Eredivisie game Ajax Amsterdam vs. AZ Alkmaar

Ajax Amsterdam - AZ Alkmaar betting tip & best odds | 31.10.2026

Ajax Amsterdam host AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie Matchday 11 fixture on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 21:00 at the Johan Cruijff ArenA. Ajax are second on 21 points and AZ sit fifth on 20, so this meeting could have a direct impact on the upper end of the table. Allard Lindhout is the referee. Our main prediction is a home win, with both teams to score also worth considering.

Our betting tips for Ajax vs AZ

• Ajax to win (Tip 1) — odds 1.75
  Ajax are the narrow favourites, and their 29 goals across the opening ten league matches point to a side with plenty of attacking threat. Their home record is less commanding than their overall position suggests—one win, three draws and one defeat—but they have the quality to make home advantage count in a high-stakes clash. AZ’s strong away results make this a competitive fixture, yet the home win is our main betting tip.
• Both teams to score: Yes — odds 1.43
  Ajax have scored 29 and conceded 13 in the league, while AZ have found the net 20 times and let in 12. Those figures suggest both sides can create chances, even if Ajax are expected to have the edge. The recent 1–1 draw between the clubs also fits the possibility of goals at both ends. For bettors looking beyond the match result, “Yes” is our second sports betting tip.

These betting tips today are based on the teams’ league records, recent results and the balance of their previous meetings. As with all football bets today, odds can change and do not guarantee an outcome.

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Best odds and bookmaker options

The best listed price for an Ajax win is 1.75 at Mozzart. The draw is available at 4.44 with 1win, while an AZ victory is priced at 4.13 there. For the goals market, “Both teams to score: Yes” is 1.43 at Paripesa, compared with 2.86 for “No” at 1win. Our preference is the home win, with the both-teams-to-score selection as an alternative market. In our experience, comparing bookmakers before placing a wager is useful because prices and available markets can vary; you can also explore our best betting sites page for more options. Please bet responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.

Ajax Amsterdam performance check

Ajax arrive with momentum after a 2–1 away victory over Sparta Rotterdam, a result that gives them a positive platform for this demanding home fixture. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. Their latest league result was the same win at Sparta, and their overall Eredivisie return stands at six victories, three draws and one loss.

Míchel Sánchez’s team have scored 29 league goals and conceded 13. That attacking output is a major part of their case as favourites: Ajax can put pressure on opponents and have shown they can produce goals consistently. They currently occupy second place with 21 points, just one ahead of AZ. However, their home record deserves attention rather than being taken for granted. Ajax have won once, drawn three times and lost once at the Johan Cruijff ArenA in the league so far. The crowd and familiar surroundings may help, but the statistics suggest AZ could make this uncomfortable.

AZ Alkmaar’s current form

AZ are fifth with 20 points, only one behind Ajax, and their six wins from ten league matches underline why they should not be dismissed. They have also drawn twice and lost twice, scoring 20 goals while conceding 12. Their away form has been particularly effective: three wins, one draw and one defeat on the road is a strong record heading into a visit to Amsterdam.

There is, though, a setback to respond to. AZ lost 2–0 at home to Twente Enschede in their most recent match, both in all competitions and in the Eredivisie. Their last five outings have produced two wins, one draw and two defeats, a less consistent sequence than Ajax’s. Coach Leeroy Echteld will want his side to recover quickly, especially against a team with Ajax’s scoring numbers. AZ have enough quality and away confidence to threaten, but they will need a more effective display in both boxes than they managed against Twente.

The last direct duels

The most recent meeting between Ajax and AZ ended 1–1, both in all competitions and in the Eredivisie. That result reflects how closely matched the sides can be, despite the difference in their current goal totals. Across the last five head-to-head matches in all competitions, Ajax have not recorded a win: the clubs have drawn twice, while AZ have won three times.

That sequence gives AZ a psychological reason for confidence, but it does not decide this fixture. The present-day form and venue matter too. Ajax’s recent away win and their overall scoring record provide grounds for expecting a more assertive performance, while AZ’s good away results and past success in this matchup make them a credible threat. The previous 1–1 is also a reminder that a draw cannot be ruled out.

Match conclusion and prediction

This should be a close contest between two sides separated by a single point, with the result potentially reshaping the standings around the European places. AZ’s away record and superior recent head-to-head results are significant counterarguments to backing Ajax. Still, Ajax’s second-place position, stronger overall goal return and latest win give them a slight advantage, particularly with the match at the Johan Cruijff ArenA.

The home side’s mixed results on their own ground mean this is not a risk-free selection, but the available 1.75 price makes Ajax the preferred outcome in our assessment. We expect AZ to contribute to an open game, given both teams’ scoring records and Ajax’s goals-against figure. Our final prediction is Ajax to win, with both teams to score: Yes as the secondary pick.

More football tips for tomorrow

If you are looking beyond this Eredivisie fixture, our football tips for tomorrow offer another way to compare upcoming matches, form and betting markets. Check the relevant previews before placing a wager, and remember that predictions are opinions rather than guarantees.