Predictions for the Championship game Millwall FC vs. Derby County

Millwall FC - Derby County betting tip & best odds | 31.10.2026

Millwall FC host Derby County at The Den on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:00 in Championship Matchday 13. Millwall sit 13th on 15 points, while Derby are 23rd with seven. The home side will look to turn their advantage in the table and at home into three points; Derby need a result to improve a difficult start.

Our betting tips for Millwall vs Derby

Millwall have the stronger season record and the benefit of playing at The Den, making the home side the more convincing choice in this fixture. Derby have shown some resilience by drawing four of their 12 league matches, but their single win and 10 goals scored point to a team that has struggled to turn competitive spells into victories. Our first sports betting tip is a Millwall win. The second selection is for both teams to score: yes. Millwall have conceded 20 goals in 12 league games, while Derby have let in 21, so neither defence has been especially secure. Derby’s away record includes a win and two draws from six matches, and they may find opportunities even if Millwall control more of the match. These betting tips today balance the home team’s advantage with the possibility of goals at both ends.

• Tip 1 — Millwall to win (1), odds 1.73: Millwall are 16 points ahead of Derby in the table and have won four league matches compared with Derby’s one. Their home record is not dominant, with two wins, two draws and two defeats, but the venue and the overall gap in results make the hosts the likelier winners.
• Both teams to score — Yes, odds 1.80: Millwall’s 19 goals scored and 20 conceded suggest open matches, while Derby have scored 10 and conceded 21. The visitors may be able to contribute a goal, although Millwall remain the more likely side to take all three points.

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Best odds and bookmaker options

The best listed price for a Millwall win is 1.73 at 1win. The draw is available at 3.90 with Mozzart, while Bet365 offers 5.00 for a Derby victory. For both teams to score, Bet365 has 1.80 on yes, and 1win lists 1.95 on no. The home win is our preferred pick, though the odds reflect that Millwall still need to deliver on the pitch. Based on our experience comparing bookmakers, it is worth checking the market and terms before placing a bet, as prices can move. You can also compare options on our best betting sites page.

Millwall FC performance check

Millwall arrive after a 2–1 away defeat to Portsmouth, a result that extended a mixed run rather than confirming a sustained upswing. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Alex Neil’s side have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats. The league table shows four wins, three draws and five losses from 12 matches, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded. That balance indicates Millwall can create chances, but they have also allowed opponents enough opportunities to keep matches close.

Their record at The Den is two wins, two draws and two defeats. It is a fairly even return, so home advantage should not be treated as a guarantee. Still, Millwall’s stronger overall points tally and their ability to score at a better rate than Derby give them a solid platform. Neil will want his side to be more composed defensively after conceding twice against Portsmouth, while maintaining the attacking threat that has produced 19 league goals.

Derby County’s current form

Derby’s latest outing ended in a 1–1 away draw against Sheffield United. It was a useful point, but it did not change the broader picture: John Eustace’s team remain 23rd with seven points after 12 league matches. Their record stands at one win, four draws and seven defeats, and they have scored 10 goals while conceding 21. The low scoring total is a concern, especially against a Millwall side that should be encouraged to attack at home.

The Rams have drawn three and lost two of their last five matches, with no wins in that spell. Away from home, they have one victory, two draws and three defeats, so they have managed to pick up points on the road but have not been consistently reliable. A disciplined performance and better use of their chances will be important if they are to trouble Millwall. Derby’s recent draw shows they can stay competitive, yet they need to find more cutting edge to turn close games into wins.

The last direct duels

Millwall have had the upper hand in the last five meetings across all competitions, winning three and drawing two. Derby have not won any of those encounters. The most recent meeting finished 1–0 to Millwall at home, and the last Championship meeting had the same scoreline. That record offers a useful indication of how closely contested this fixture can be: Millwall have found ways to edge the match, but the narrow score suggests Derby have not always been far away.

Past meetings cannot determine the outcome of this one, particularly given the teams’ changing form and circumstances. Nevertheless, Millwall can take confidence from their unbeaten run of five head-to-head games, while Derby will need to break that pattern with a more effective attacking display.

Match conclusion and prediction

Millwall are the logical favourites, supported by their higher league position, stronger points return, greater goal output and positive recent head-to-head record. Their home form is only moderate, and the Portsmouth defeat is a reminder that they remain vulnerable, but Derby’s season has been more difficult: they have one league win, have conceded 21 goals and are still searching for a victory in their last five matches.

The most likely outcome is a narrow home win, with Derby capable of making the game uncomfortable if they defend well and take their chances. Our main prediction is Millwall to win, while both teams to score is a reasonable secondary selection given the defensive records on both sides. A 2–1 Millwall result would fit the available form indicators, though it is a prediction rather than a certainty.

Looking ahead to tomorrow’s betting tips

If you are comparing this fixture with other matches, our betting tips for tomorrow can help you explore more sports betting options and predictions. As always, compare odds, consider the risks and only bet within your limits.